Forecast Discussions mentioning "ACARS", "MDCRS", "AIRCRAFT", "TAMDAR", or "AMDAR" received at FSL on 02/11/07

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS SAN DIEGO CA
930 PM PST THU FEB 8 2007 .SYNOPSIS... UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE COAST WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. COOL WEATHER WITH SHOWERS AND MOUNTAIN SNOW ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH. COOL AND PARTLY CLOUDY THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES. LOTS OF HAZE AND MID-HIGH CLOUDS THIS EVE. WE ARE STILL UNDER 576 SW FLOW TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. LOTS OF MOISTURE AT HIGH LEVELS FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...BUT PRECIP CHANCES LOOK MINOR AS PLUME OF CLOUDS AND RAIN IS DIRECTED INTO CENTRAL CALIF. THE PACIFIC TROUGH FINALLY EDGES INTO THE AREA BY SAT PM. WARM FRONT RAIN IS EXPECTED SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN MORNING...WITH LINGERING SHOWERS SUN PM. THE 160 KT JET WILL BE TO FAR SOUTH TO ENHANCE RAIN. NOT A WHOLE LOT OF PRESSURE GRAIDENT OR 850 MB SW WINDS TO GET OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT...SO WE ARE KEEPING PRECIP TOTALS MODERATE FOR THE WEEKEND STORM. TOTALS ENDING SUNDAY NIGHT SHOULD RANGE FROM 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH ON THE FLATS AND 1/2 TO 1 INCH ON SW FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE HIGH...ABOVE 8000 FT. GUSTY WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS AHEAD OF THE FRONT SAT PM. THE FIRST TROUGH IS EAST OF US BY SUNDAY NIGHT. A WEAK 564 RIDGE SHOULD KEEP US COOL...DRY AND PARTLY CLOUDY MONDAY. A SECOND TROUGH COMES THROUGH TUESDAY WITH A DECENT COLD FRONT. WITH 550 CLCONIC WEST FLOW ALOFT AND 6 MB ONSHORE FLOW...THIS FRONT COULD BRING A GOOD SNOW STORM TO THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 4000 FT. VALLEY TEMPS ONLY IN MID-UPR 50S TUE. TOTALS WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE AROUND 1/4 INCH ON THE FLATS AND UP TO 3/4 INCH MTS. LINGERING SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT. PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOL WED THRU FRI UNDER 560 CYCLONIC NW FLOW. && .AVIATION... EARLY EVENING ACARS SOUNDINGS FROM KSAN...KSNA AND KLGB INDICATE THE MARINE LAYER REMAINS VERY SHALLOW...AROUND 700 FEET NEAR KSNA AND 500 FEET NEAR KSAN. BASED ON METAR REPORTS FROM OFFSHORE ISLANDS...THERE ARE AREAS OF STRATUS OFFSHORE BUT MOST OF THIS IS OBSCURED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BY THE HIGHER CLOUDS. EXPECTING STRATUS TO PUSH ONTO THE COAST LATER THIS EVENING WITH BROKEN TO OVERCAST CONDITIONS EXPECTED. BASES SHOULD BE AROUND 1000 FEET MSL WITH TOPS AROUND 1500 FEET MSL. CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON EXTENT AND TIMING OF THE STRATUS IS LOW BUT PROBABLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WHICH COULD HELP MINIMIZE THE STRATUS OVERNIGHT. EXPECT ANY STRATUS TO SCATTER OUT DURING THE MORNING ON FRIDAY. VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN MVFR OR BETTER EXCEPT BELOW 3 MILES IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MESAS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. ABOVE THE MARINE LAYER...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH VARIABLE AMOUNTS OF ALTOCU AROUND FL150 AND CIRRUS ABOVE FL200 THROUGH FRIDAY. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$ PUBLIC...MACKECHNIE AVIATION/MARINE...HORTON
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS MIAMI FL
956 AM EST FRI FEB 9 2007 .UPDATE...MADE ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FCST THIS MORNING. REMOVED SPRINKLES FROM THE FCST FOR TODAY...SINCE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE AREA AND THE MIAMI SOUNDING THIS MORNING SHOWS DRY AIR IN PLACE...WITH A PWAT OF ONLY 0.82 INCHES. SO AM EXPECTING A TRANQUIL DAY WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 DEGREES. MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE WIND FCST...FOLLOWING CLOSELY WITH THE NAM-WRF SOLUTION...WHICH SHOWS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE NOT DEVELOPING AND PUSHING INLAND UNTIL MID/LATE AFTERNOON. THIS SEEMS MOST REASONABLE GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE MORNING SOUNDING AND ACARS DATA SHOW THAT THE SW FLOW THROUGH 5KFT THIS MORNING IS A FEW KNOTS STRONGER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...AND IT TOOK AWHILE YESTERDAY FOR THE SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP AND PUSH INLAND. UPDATES ARE ALREADY OUT. /GREGORIA && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM EST FRI FEB 9 2007/ DISCUSSION... A QUIET NIGHT IS CURRENTLY IN PROGRESS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND WILL TRANSLATE INTO A VERY PLEASANT DAY ACROSS THE AREA...WITH TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THIS FORECAST. MODELS ARE IN UNANIMOUS AGREEMENT ON A CONTINUATION OF WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE SUNSHINE STATE THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW A WEAK COLD FRONT TO PASS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PENINSULA FROM FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SUBSEQUENT PASSAGE OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL SHEAR AXIS MAY RESULT IN INCREASED MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER...BUT VERY DRY MOISTURE PROFILES WILL GENERALLY RESULT IN A DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE FOR ALL AREAS. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND... BUT RAPIDLY MODIFYING SURFACE HIGH OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION WILL ENSURE THAT MAXIMUM/MINIMUM TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. MOST MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS FORECASTING A TRANSITION TO A MORE ZONALLY ORIENTED MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. A WEAK SOUTHERN STREAM VORT MAX IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY... WITH LOW-LEVEL FLOW FORECAST TO VEER TO SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO THIS FEATURE. MOISTURE WILL RAPIDLY SPREAD BACK ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS RETURNING AS WELL. AS SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF THE HUDSON BAY VORTEX BEGINS TO DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY...AND EXPECT HIGHER RAIN CHANCES FOR SOUTH FLORIDA TO HOLD OFF UNTIL FRONTAL PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER-THAN-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE THE HIGHLIGHT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME HINTS IN THE GUIDANCE THAT DEVELOPING ISENTROPIC ASCENT NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR CLOUDY SKIES AND SOME POSTFRONTAL RAINFALL. AS THIS IS STILL FAR OUT IN THE FUTURE... WILL HOLD POPS AT 10 PERCENT OR LESS FOR NOW AND REFINE AS THE EVENT COMES CLOSER. AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED MOST AREAS THROUGH TODAY...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME MORNING FOG AT KTMB WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS EVIDENT ACROSS THE SE GULF EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THE NAM/GFS BOTH BRING THIS MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...BUT AT DIFFERING LEVELS FROM 8-12K FEET. OPTED TO INTRODUCE A SCT080 DECK FOR NOW. VERY LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS DURING MUCH OF THE MORNING HOURS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SEA BREEZE FORMATION ON BOTH COASTS BY MID DAY...AND THE TAFS REFLECT THIS IDEA. MARINE... GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO PLEASANT MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT ONSHORE COMPONENT ALONG THE GULF COAST MAY HEIGHTEN THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS LATER TODAY. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE FOR ALL AREAS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH SEAS GRADUALLY BUILDING AS A RESULT. ANOTHER EPISODE OF RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. GULF STREAM SEAS WILL BUILD MORE SUBSTANTIALLY AFTER THE ONSET OF NORTH WINDS FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY. FIRE WEATHER... GIVEN LOW DEW POINTS IN PLACE...WILL HAVE TO CLOSELY MONITOR RH TRENDS FOR ANOTHER POTENTIAL RED FLAG EVENT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...NO PROBLEMS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NWS MARQUETTE MI
1110 PM EST SAT FEB 10 2007 .UPDATE... UPDATE FOCUSED ON HEADLINE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY OVER THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA. UPSTREAM TAMDAR AND 00Z RAOBS WERE QUITE DRY AT LOW LEVELS WITH INVERSION HGTS AROUND 3KFT. RUC...NAM AND WRF-ARW FCST SNDGS SEEMED TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON DRY AIR AND LOW INVERSION HGTS ALONG WITH CONVERGENCE AREA OFF TIP OF THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA. GIVEN DRYNESS OF SNDGS AND FACT THAT GOOD LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE REALLY DOESN`T COME ONSHORE UNTIL AFT 08Z TONIGHT...DO NOT BELIEVE LES WHICH FORMS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY WILL BE VERY ORGANIZED OR INTENSE. NAM AND RUC FCST SNDGS ALSO SEEM TO SUGGEST THAT LES WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AS INVERSION HGTS REMAIN BLO 4KFT. THUS...HAVE CANCELLED THE LES AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY OVER THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA. TRIMMED LES AMTS TO 1 TO 2 INCHES LATE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED IN THE MORNING. ALSO HAD TO ADJUST TEMPS UP A FEW DEGREES AS MID-HIGH CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST HAVE KEPT READINGS FROM FALLING MUCH OVER THE WI BDR COUNTIES. WENT WITH LOWS CLOSER TO ZERO OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR FCST AREA AND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE. $$ .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND SUNDAY)... H5 HEIGHTS INDICATE A RIDGE OVR WESTERN NORTH AMERICA WITH TROUGHING OVR EASTERN CANADA INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. POLAR VORTEX HAS SUNK INTO NORTHERN ONTARIO WITH H5 HEIGHTS BLO 500 DAM. COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES WEST OF THE GREAT LAKES TODAY WILL SWING TOWARD THE AREA OR JUST TO THE SOUTH INTO SUNDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 280K SFC WILL PROVIDE A GOOD SWATH OF MID CLOUDS INTO SUN...BUT SYNOPTIC PCPN SHOULD REMAIN FARTHER S OVR WI WHERE LOWER LEVEL MOISTENING IS A BIT MORE PRONOUNCED. AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR THE LAST WEEK...ANY PCPN OVR UPR MI WILL BE CAUSED BY LK SUPERIOR. LES RIGHT NOW IS PRETTY MUCH NON EXISTENT. INVERSION LOWERING BLO H9 AS SEEN ON 12Z KINL SOUNDING/EARLY AFTN TAMDAR FM CYQT IS CAUSING THIS TREND. TEMPS AT TOP OF INVERSION CONTINUE TO WARM ALSO... NEARING -15C BY 00Z. LOBES OF LARGE SCALE LIFT FM POLAR VORTEX DROPPING TOWARD LK SUPERIOR LATE TONIGHT/APPROACHING SHORTWAVE FM THE WEST SHOULD BOOST LES AFT MIDNIGHT. LOWER LEVEL WINDS ALSO BECOME LESS SHEARED FM THE WEST AND CONVERGENCE PICKS UP FM SFC-H9 AS WELL. SO...EXPECT LES TO GET SOMEWHAT BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE OVERNIGHT. LOCAL HIGHER RESOLUTION WRF-ARW AND RUC13 INDICATE GREATEST CONVERGENCE OVR KEWEENAW 09Z-18Z SUN AS NW WINDS OVR LK SUPERIOR MEET THE STUBBORN W/SW FLOW OVR LAND. EVEN WITH THESE POSITIVES...INVERSION HEIGHTS STILL ONLY TOP OUT AROUND H85...SO CONVECTIVE DEPTH DOES NOT LOOK TOO IMPRESSIVE. THIS WAS PRIMARY REASON NOT TO GO WITH WARNING. INSTEAD...WILL ISSUE A LES/BLSN ADVY FOR KEWEENAW PENINSULA. ADDED BLSN AS EXPECT BLYR WINDS TO BE BTWN 20-30 MPH LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUN. WINDS SHIFTING NW IN MIXED LAYER AFT 18Z SHOULD DIMINISH LES ON KEWEENAW SUN AFTN...SO WILL END ADVY AT THAT TIME. OTHER CONCERN IS OVR FAR NE CWA...WHERE AN ADVY MAY BE NEEDED ON SUN. NOT ISSUING THAT NOW SINCE IT IS STILL LATER IN THE SECOND PERIOD. BACK TO WINDS...MODELS HAVE STRUGGLED LATELY WITH WIND SPEEDS OVR LK SUPERIOR. LAST TWO GALE EVENTS...NAM/GFS HAVE UNDERESTIMATED MAX WINDS BY 5-10KT AND IT IS HAPPENING AGAIN TODAY...WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS OBSERVED MOST DAY ON LK SUPERIOR AND 30 KT AT MOST IN MODEL GUIDANCE. SINCE WINDS ARE PROGGED TO INCREASE THROUGH H85 TONIGHT AHEAD OF SHORTWAVES...WENT WITH GALE WARNING ON LK SUPERIOR THROUGH SUN AM. MOS TEMPS FOR TONIGHT/SUNDAY SEEMED REASONABLE. LOWERED TEMPS OVR INLAND WEST HALF (5 TO 10 BLO ZERO) AS CLEAR SKIES THIS EVENING AND FAIRLY LGT WINDS MAY RESULT IN TEMPS DROPPING QUICKLY TOWARD CURRENT DEWPOINTS. .LONG TERM (SUN NIGHT THROUGH SAT)... COLD FRONT REACHING THE KEWEENAW SUN AFTN WILL EXIT THE FCST AREA SUN EVENING. IN ITS WAKE...850MB TEMPS DROP INTO THE -20 TO -24C RANGE OVER LAKE SUPERIOR BY 12Z MON. ALTHOUGH THERE IS PLENTY OF INSTABILITY FOR LES....NAM HAS COME AROUND TO THE GFS WITH RESPECT TO LOWER INVERSIONS OF 4-5KFT AND A LESS SUPPORTIVE MOISTURE PROFILE. SO...AFTER INTIAL BURST OF SNOW WITH FROPA...LES SHOULD SETTLE DOWN TO A RELATIVELY LIGHT INTENSITY THROUGH SUN NIGHT. VEERING WINDS WITH HIGH PRES BUILDING E THRU MANITOBA/ONTARIO WILL ALSO KEEP BANDS SHIFTING...KEEPING ACCUMULATIONS DOWN. IN ADDITION...LARGE SCALE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW WILL BE ANOTHER NEGATIVE. HOWEVER...THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT LOCAL CONVERGENCE OR EVEN A MESOLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER SCNTRL LAKE SUPERIOR AS VEERING LARGE SCALE WINDS ARE ENHANCED BY LAND BREEZE OFF ONTARIO TO TAKE ON A MORE ERLY COMPONENT OVER ERN SUPERIOR. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS POTENTIAL WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCAL HVY LES IN MARQUETTE OR ALGER COUNTIES LATE SUN NIGHT. ON MON...WINDS CONTINUING VEERING TO A NE DIRECTION...BUT THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE WITH RESPECT TO INVERSION HEIGHTS/MOISTURE PROFILES. SO...LES WILL REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE (SUB ADVY ACCUMULATIONS). IF A MESOLOW DOES DEVELOP OVER SCNTRL LAKE SUPERIOR LATE SUN NIGHT... SNOW COULD BE LOCALLY HVY THRU MON MORNING OVER A SMALL PART OF NCNTL UPPER MI. ALTHOUGH CORE OF COLDEST AIR PASSES JUST NE OF FCST AREA...TEMPS WILL PROBABLY STRUGGLE TO REACH 10F OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE W AND NCNTL FCST AREA WITH 850MB TEMPS HOVERING AROUND -22C. TUE THRU SAT...OTHER THAN LES...THERE WON`T BE MUCH PCPN DURING THIS PERIOD UNDER A GENERAL DRY NW FLOW PATTERN. MAIN FCST ISSUE IS POTENTIAL OF A MIDLEVEL LOW TO DROP INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES MIDWEEK. 00Z/12Z FEB9 ECWMF/GFS/GLOBAL CANADIAN RUNS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON SUCH A SCENARIO. THE 00Z/12Z FEB10 ECMWF RUNS STILL SHOW THIS SOLUTION (JUST SLIGHTLY W AND SLIGHTLY DEEPER THAN FEB9 RUNS). THE 00Z/06Z/12Z GFS RUNS HAVE BACKED AWAY FROM THE MIDLEVEL LOW OVER THE UPPER LAKES AND NOW ONLY SHOW AN OPEN WAVE SWINGING THRU THE UPPER LAKES WED OR KEEP MIDLEVEL LOW N OF LAKE SUPERIOR. THE 00Z GLOBAL CANADIAN SUPPORTS THE ECWMF...BUT WITH HEIGHTS NOT NEARLY AS LOW AS THE ECMWF (500MB HEIGHT WITH MIDLEVEL LOW OVER NE LWR MI 00Z THU IN THE CANADIAN SOLUTION IS 180M HIGHER THAN THE ECWMF). THE 00Z UKMET WHICH HAS SHOWN VERY POOR RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY DOES SUPPORT AN ECMWF/CANADIAN SOLUTION BUT IS ABOUT 24HR SLOWER WITH THE WHOLE PROGRESSION OF MIDLEVEL LOW. 12Z UKMET NOW LOOKS JUST LIKE THE ECWMF WITH TIMING AND DEPTH OF MIDLEVEL SYSTEM. 12Z CANADIAN HAS TRENDED DEEPER AND FARTHER W WITH MIDLEVEL LOW AND JUST DRIFTS IT ACROSS THE WRN GREAT LAKES WED AND THU. AT THIS POINT...DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS FOR A SYSTEM 3-5DAYS OUT YET WON`T MAKE TOO MUCH DIFFERENCE IN THE BASIC WEATHER HERE AS ALL SUGGEST A GENERAL NRLY FLOW LES PATTERN TUE/WED WITH LIKELY POPS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. IF THE ECMWF SOLUTION WORKS OUT...THERE WOULD BE A SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT/LAKE ENHANCED SNOW EVENT FOR AREAS FAVORED BY NRLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS LATE TUE THRU WED NIGHT. ALTHOUGH NON GFS SOLUTIONS SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW... CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH RIGHT NOW TO START HIGHLIGHTING POSSIBILITY IN HAZARDOUS WX OUTLOOK. LES WILL WIND DOWN WITH MODERATING AIRMASS AND BACKING WINDS THU AND SHOULD ACTUALLY END FRI AS 850MB TEMPS CONTINUE TO RISE. DESPITE REASONABLE GFS/ECMWF AGREEMENT LATE IN THE WEEK...HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING NEXT SHORTWAVE APPROACHING UPPER LAKES LATE FRI. HAVE INCLUDED LOW CHC POPS FOR -SN FRI NIGHT INTO SAT FOR THIS SYSTEM. TEMPS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD AND WILL RISE TO AROUND NORMAL BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. && .MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GALE WARNING LAKE SUPERIOR. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING LAKE SUPERIOR. && $$ VOSS (UPDATE) JLA (SHORT TERM) ROLFSON (LONG TERM)