Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 010548
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Miami FL
1248 AM EST Wed Feb 1 2017

.AVIATION...
The winds will be light and variable through 15Z today before
increasing from the east at 5 to 10 knots for the late morning
into the afternoon hours at most of South Florida taf sites.
The only exception to this is at KAPF taf site where the winds
will become westerly at 5 to 10 knots after 19Z today. The weather
will remain dry along with VFR conditions in the vis and ceilings.

&&
AVIATION...54/BNB


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 654 PM EST Tue Jan 31 2017/

AVIATION...

There is still a lingering east and west coast sea breeze this
evening but is expected that winds will become light and variable
around 02z Wednesday with the possibility that a light off shore
breeze is possible during the early morning hours on Wednesday.
The east and west coast sea breezes are forecast to return on
Wednesday around 16-18z time frame. Stable weather and mainly VFR
conditions forecast through the forecast period.

&&
60/BD


PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 339 PM EST Tue Jan 31 2017/

DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to linger across South Florida in one
form or another through the week. For tonight, expecting another
cool night though not as cold as last night. The easterly flow
today has helped moderate the airmass a tad and allowed for a
resurgence in surface moisture this afternoon. Clear skies will
allow for some radiational cooling overnight, but would not be
surprised to see the increasing dew point values spreading
westward help moderate the overnight lows.

Wednesday appears to be another beautiful dry season day across
South Florida with temperatures rebounding into the 70s across
the region under sunny skies. The moderating trend will continue
through the week with moisture returning as early as Thursday that
will make some Atlantic showers a possibility, particularly along
the east coast.

Generally zonal flow at the mid-levels will continue to encourage
this relatively quiet synoptic pattern across southern Florida.
Late in the weekend into early next week, a system will push
across the nation. At the moment, it appears the mid and upper
level features associated with this system will lack the ability
to push into Florida as the push across the southeastern and
eastern United States. This could change, but at this time the
forecast will remain without influence from this system.

MARINE...
Light easterly wind should continue to provide weather-hazard-
free conditions for mariners through the weekend. The possibility
of Atlantic showers returns by Thursday, but the impacts from
these showers for mariners should be minimal.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1248 PM EST Tue Jan 31 2017/

AVIATION...Winds starting to shift NNE along east coast with
guidance still indicating winds veering more ENE. Wind speeds
expected to be 6-9kts, with the potential for some variability
between NNW and ENE through through 23Z. Light Gulf breeze bring
winds around to the WNW 20Z-00Z. Winds become light after 23Z,
with drainage flow developing at all sites overnight. Winds
picking up out of the ENE again tomorrow afternoon.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  61  78  65  79 /  10  10  10   0
Fort Lauderdale  66  78  67  78 /  20  20  20  10
Miami            66  80  68  79 /  20  20  10  10
Naples           59  80  61  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

UPDATE...60/BD
DISCUSSION...02/RAG
MARINE...02/RAG
AVIATION...54/BNB







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