Environment for Quantifying Uncertainty:
Integrated aNd Optimized at the eXtreme scale
Sponsored by: DOE - Advanced Scientific Computing Research
The goal of EQUINOX is to establish a modern mathematical and statistical foundation that will enable next-generation, complex, stochastic predictive simulations.
EQUINOX is a multi-institutional ASCR funded effort to to establish a modern mathematical and statistical foundation that will enable next-generation, complex, stochastic predictive simulations. Such a foundation is critical to realizing the potential of fu- ture computing platforms, including exascale, and will ultimately enable scientists to address a fundamental question, namely "how do the uncertainties ubiquitous in all modeling efforts affect our predictions and understanding of complex phenomena?" Examples include both epistemic (lack of knowledge) and aleatoric (intrinsic variability) uncertainties and encompass uncertainty coming from inaccurate physical measurements, bias in mathematical descriptions, as well as errors coming from numerical approximations of computational simulations. Because it is essential for dealing with realistic experimental data and assessing the reliability of predictions based on numerical simulations, advanced research in uncertainty quantification (UQ) ultimately aims to address these challenges. Our rigorous approach to UQ combines novel paradigms in applied mathematics, statistics and computational science into a unified framework, which we call EQUINOX.
The goal of EQUINOX is to effect a transition from currently used naïve non-intrusive algorithms and embedded implementations to a truly architecture-aware, predictive capability for applications that dominate the focus of the DOE mission. Our rigorous UQ methodology includes:
Equinox Partners: